The impact of the infectious period on epidemics



Wilkinson, Robert R and Sharkey, Kieran J ORCID: 0000-0002-7210-9246
The impact of the infectious period on epidemics. Phys. Rev. E, 97. 052403 - ?.

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Abstract

The duration of the infectious period is crucial in determining the ability of an infectious disease to spread. We consider an epidemic model that is network-based and non-Markovian, containing classic Kermack-McKendrick, pairwise, message passing and spatial models as special cases. For this model, we prove a monotonic relationship between the variability of the infectious period (with fixed mean) and the probability that the infection will reach an arbitrary subset of the population by time t. The striking importance of this relationship, even under standard assumptions, is demonstrated.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: q-bio.PE, q-bio.PE
Depositing User: Symplectic Admin
Date Deposited: 22 Nov 2017 10:04
Last Modified: 19 Jan 2023 06:50
DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevE.97.052403
Related URLs:
URI: https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3012073

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