Mosquito-Borne Diseases: Advances in Modelling Climate-Change Impacts

Tjaden, Nils Benjamin, Caminade, Cyril ORCID: 0000-0002-3846-7082, Beierkuhnlein, Carl and Thomas, Stephanie Margarete (2018) Mosquito-Borne Diseases: Advances in Modelling Climate-Change Impacts. TRENDS IN PARASITOLOGY, 34 (3). pp. 227-245.

Text Tjaden_et_al_2017_pre-print_final.docx - Author Accepted Manuscript Download (2MB)

Abstract

Vector-borne diseases are on the rise globally. As the consequences of climate change are becoming evident, climate-based models of disease risk are of growing importance. Here, we review the current state-of-the-art in both mechanistic and correlative disease modelling, the data driving these models, the vectors and diseases covered, and climate models applied to assess future risk. We find that modelling techniques have advanced considerably, especially in terms of using ensembles of climate models and scenarios. Effects of extreme events, precipitation regimes, and seasonality on diseases are still poorly studied. Thorough validation of models is still a challenge and is complicated by a lack of field and laboratory data. On a larger scale, the main challenges today lie in cross-disciplinary and cross-sectoral transfer of data and methods.

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Animals, Humans, Communicable Diseases, Risk Assessment, Models, Biological, Climate Change, Mosquito Vectors
Depositing User:	Symplectic Admin
Date Deposited:	14 Dec 2017 10:36
Last Modified:	19 Jan 2023 06:48
DOI:	10.1016/j.pt.2017.11.006
Related URLs:	Author Publisher
URI:	https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3013963