The risk premium of gold



Nguyen, Duc Binh Benno, Prokopczuk, Marcel and Wese Simen, Chardin ORCID: 0000-0003-4119-3024
(2019) The risk premium of gold. Journal of International Money and Finance, 94. pp. 140-159.

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Abstract

This paper examines the properties of the gold risk premium. We estimate a parsimonious model for the gold risk premium and uncover important time variations in the dynamics of the risk premium. We also estimate the risk premia of the stock and bond markets and investigate their co-movements. The results show that the co-movements of expected gold returns with expected returns of stocks and bonds are positive, while co-movements of realized returns are zero or negative on average. This results holds not only during normal market periods, but also in times of market stress. Furthermore, we find no significant co-movement of expected and realized returns of gold with inflation.

Item Type: Article
Depositing User: Symplectic Admin
Date Deposited: 21 Aug 2019 07:44
Last Modified: 19 Jan 2023 00:28
DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.02.011
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URI: https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3052275