Beta Uncertainty



Hollstein, Fabian, Prokopczuk, Marcel and Wese Simen, Chardin ORCID: 0000-0003-4119-3024
(2020) Beta Uncertainty. Journal of Banking and Finance, 116. p. 105834.

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Abstract

A stock’s exposure to systematic risk factors is surrounded by substantial uncertainty. This beta uncertainty is both economically and statistically significantly priced in the cross-section of stock returns. Stocks with high beta uncertainty substantially underperform those with low beta uncertainty: a two-standard-deviation increase in the measure decreases average annual returns by 9.7%. These results cannot be explained by previously discovered determinants of cross-sectional stock returns. Aggregate beta uncertainty negatively predicts market excess returns in the short and medium term. We find supporting evidence for a mispricing explanation of the beta uncertainty premium.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Beta, CAPM, Disagreement, Ambiguity, Parameter Uncertainty
Depositing User: Symplectic Admin
Date Deposited: 29 Apr 2020 09:19
Last Modified: 18 Jan 2023 23:53
DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2020.105834
Related URLs:
URI: https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3085136