Monthly suspended sediment load prediction using artificial intelligence: testing of a new random subspace method



Nhu, Viet-Ha, Khosravi, Khabat, Cooper, James R ORCID: 0000-0003-4957-2774, Karimi, Mahshid, Kisi, Ozgur, Pham, Binh Thai and Lyu, Zongjie
(2020) Monthly suspended sediment load prediction using artificial intelligence: testing of a new random subspace method. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 65 (12). pp. 1-12.

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Abstract

The predictive capability of a new artificial intelligence method, random subspace (RS), for the prediction of suspended sediment load in rivers was compared with commonly used methods: random forest (RF) and two support vector machine (SVM) models using a radial basis function kernel (SVM-RBF) and a normalized polynomial kernel (SVM-NPK). Using river discharge, rainfall and river stage data from the Haraz River, Iran, the results revealed: (a) the RS model provided a superior predictive accuracy (NSE = 0.83) to SVM-RBF (NSE = 0.80), SVM-NPK (NSE = 0.78) and RF (NSE = 0.68), corresponding to very good, good, satisfactory and unsatisfactory accuracies in load prediction; (b) the RBF kernel outperformed the NPK kernel; (c) the predictive capability was most sensitive to gamma and epsilon in SVM models, maximum depth of a tree and the number of features in RF models, classifier type, number of trees and subspace size in RS models; and (d) suspended sediment loads were most closely correlated with river discharge (PCC = 0.76). Overall, the results show that RS models have great potential in data poor watersheds, such as that studied here, to produce strong predictions of suspended load based on monthly records of river discharge, rainfall depth and river stage alone.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: suspended sediment, rivers, artificial intelligence, random forest, random subspace, support vector machine
Depositing User: Symplectic Admin
Date Deposited: 21 Jul 2020 07:49
Last Modified: 18 Jan 2023 23:40
DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2020.1754419
Related URLs:
URI: https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3094678