Global liquidity, money growth and UK inflation

Ellington, M ORCID: 0000-0003-0264-7572 and Milas, C (2019) Global liquidity, money growth and UK inflation. Journal of Financial Stability, 42. 67 - 74.

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Abstract

© 2019 Elsevier B.V. This paper uses tools from the classical theory of inflation for UK Consumer Price Inflation from 1970Q1 to 2017Q4. In particular, we adopt augmented Phillips curve type equations within a linear and regime-switching framework where regimes are governed by previous inflation rates. Our non-linear models show that a monetary explanation of inflation is prominent during periods of high inflation. However our models imply that during periods of high inflation, The Bank of England should monitor monetary conditions in conjunction with monetary policy stance; as these can help dampen inflation persistence.

Item Type:	Article
Depositing User:	Symplectic Admin
Date Deposited:	25 Jun 2018 06:35
Last Modified:	19 Jan 2023 01:31
DOI:	10.1016/j.jfs.2019.05.012
URI:	https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3022931