Walsh, Michael G, Sawleshwarkar, Shailendra, Hossain, Shah and Mor, Siobhan M 
ORCID: 0000-0003-0121-2016
(2020)
Whence the next pandemic? The intersecting global geography of the animal-human interface, poor health systems and air transit centrality reveals conduits for high-impact spillover.
ONE HEALTH, 11.
100177-.
Abstract
The health and economic impacts of infectious disease pandemics are catastrophic as most recently manifested by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The emerging infections that lead to substantive epidemics or pandemics are typically zoonoses that cross species boundaries at vulnerable points of animal-human interface. The sharing of space between wildlife and humans, and their domesticated animals, has dramatically increased in recent decades and is a key driver of pathogen spillover. Increasing animal-human interface has also occurred in concert with both increasing globalisation and failing health systems, resulting in a trifecta with dire implications for human and animal health. Nevertheless, to date we lack a geographical description of this trifecta that can be applied strategically to pandemic prevention. This investigation provides the first geographical quantification of the intersection of animal-human interfaces, poor human health system performance and global connectivity via the network of air travel. In so doing, this work provides a systematic, data-driven approach to classifying spillover hazard based on the distribution of animal-human interfaces while simultaneously identifying globally connected cities that are adjacent to these interfaces and which may facilitate global pathogen dissemination. We present this geography of high-impact spillover as a tool for developing targeted surveillance systems and improved health infrastructure in vulnerable areas that may present conduits for future pandemics.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Uncontrolled Keywords: | Wildlife-human interface, Spillover, Zoonoses, Anthropogenic pressure, Network analysis, Pandemics |
| Depositing User: | Symplectic Admin |
| Date Deposited: | 23 Oct 2020 09:25 |
| Last Modified: | 18 Jan 2023 23:26 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.onehlt.2020.100177 |
| Open Access URL: | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/... |
| Related URLs: | |
| URI: | https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3104965 |
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