First Quarter Chronicle of COVID-19: An Attempt to Measure Governments’ Responses

Şahin, Şule, Boado-Penas, María del Carmen, Constantinescu, Corina ORCID: 0000-0002-5219-3022, Eisenberg, Julia, Henshaw, Kira ORCID: 0000-0002-9018-7993, Hu, Maoqi, Wang, Jing and Zhu, Wei (2020) First Quarter Chronicle of COVID-19: An Attempt to Measure Governments’ Responses. Risks, 8 (4). p. 115.

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/risks8040115

Abstract

<jats:p>The crisis caused by the outbreak of COVID-19 revealed the global unpreparedness for handling the impact of a pandemic. In this paper, we present a first quarter chronicle of COVID-19 in Hubei China, Italy and Spain, particularly focusing on infection speed, death and fatality rates. By analysing the parameters of the best fitting distributions of the available data for the three rates in each of the three regions, we illustrate the pandemic’s evolution in relation to government measures. We compared the effectiveness of lockdown measures by observing the true situation in each dataset, without proposing a mathematical model. The feasibility of obtaining a firm conclusion in regard to the best solution for containing COVID-19 is limited, with a universal solution failing to exist due to globally varying culture, mentality and behaviours. Our method provides valid insights into the individual and national actions implemented and adhered to in order to slow the effect of the pandemic during the first-wave of COVID-19.</jats:p>

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	epidemic, risk, distribution fitting
Depositing User:	Symplectic Admin
Date Deposited:	04 Nov 2020 10:10
Last Modified:	15 Mar 2024 08:39
DOI:	10.3390/risks8040115
Open Access URL:	https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/8/4/115
Related URLs:	Author Publisher
URI:	https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3106007