Green, Mark ORCID: 0000-0002-0942-6628, Hungerford, Daniel
ORCID: 0000-0002-9770-0163, Hughes, David
ORCID: 0000-0002-1287-9994, Garcia-Fiñana, Marta, Turtle, Lance
ORCID: 0000-0002-0778-1693, Cheyne, Christopher, Ashton, Matthew
ORCID: 0000-0003-1959-5094, Leeming, Gary, Semple, Malcolm
ORCID: 0000-0001-9700-0418, Singleton, Alex et al (show 1 more authors)
(2022)
Changing patterns of SARS-CoV-2 infection through Delta and Omicron waves by vaccination status, previous infection and neighbourhood deprivation: A cohort analysis of 2.7M people.
[Preprint]
Abstract
<h4>Objective</h4> To examine if SARS-CoV-2 infections vary by vaccination status, if an individual had previously tested positive and by neighbourhood socioeconomic deprivation across the Delta and Omicron epidemic waves of SARS-CoV-2. <h4>Design</h4> Cohort study using electronic health records <h4>Setting</h4> Cheshire and Merseyside, England (3 rd June 2021 to 1 st March 2022) <h4>Participants</h4> 2.7M residents <h4>Main Outcome measure</h4> Registered positive test for SARS-CoV-2 <h4>Results</h4> Social inequalities in registered positive tests were dynamic during the study. Originally higher SARS-CoV-2 rates in the most socioeconomically deprived neighbourhoods changed to being higher in the least deprived neighbourhoods from the 1 st September 2021. While the introduction of Omicron initially reset inequalities, they continued to be dynamic and inconsistent. Individuals who were fully vaccinated (two doses) were associated with fewer registered positive tests (e.g., between 1 st September and 27 th November 2021: (i) individuals engaged in testing – Hazards Ratio (HR) = 0.48, 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs) = 0.47-0.50; (ii) individuals engaged with healthcare - HR = 0.34, 95% CIs = 0.33-0.34). Individuals with a previous registered positive test were also less likely to have a registered positive test (e.g., between 1 st September and 27 th November 2021: (i) individuals engaged in testing - HR = 0.16, 95% CIs = 0.15-0.18; (ii) individuals engaged with healthcare - HR = 0.14, 95% CIs = 0.13-0.16). However, Omicron is disrupting these associations due to immune escape resulting in smaller effect sizes for both measures. <h4>Conclusions</h4> Changing patterns of SARS-CoV-2 infections during the Delta and Omicron waves reveals a dynamic pandemic that continues to affect diverse communities in sometimes unexpected ways.
Item Type: | Preprint |
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Uncontrolled Keywords: | 4206 Public Health, 42 Health Sciences, Emerging Infectious Diseases, Clinical Research, Minority Health, Health Disparities, Infectious Diseases, Coronaviruses, Infection, 3 Good Health and Well Being |
Divisions: | Faculty of Health and Life Sciences Faculty of Health and Life Sciences > Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Admin |
Date Deposited: | 29 Apr 2022 11:51 |
Last Modified: | 06 Dec 2024 20:07 |
DOI: | 10.1101/2022.04.05.22273169 |
Open Access URL: | https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.04.05... |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3154018 |