Hoshen, Moshe B and Morse, Andrew P ORCID: 0000-0002-0413-2065
(2004)
A weather-driven model of malaria transmission.
Malar J, 3.
32-.
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779.pdf - Unspecified Available under License Creative Commons Attribution. Download (1MB) |
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Climate is a major driving force behind malaria transmission and climate data are often used to account for the spatial, seasonal and interannual variation in malaria transmission. METHODS: This paper describes a mathematical-biological model of the parasite dynamics, comprising both the weather-dependent within-vector stages and the weather-independent within-host stages. RESULTS: Numerical evaluations of the model in both time and space show that it qualitatively reconstructs the prevalence of infection. CONCLUSION: A process-based modelling structure has been developed that may be suitable for the simulation of malaria forecasts based on seasonal weather forecasts.
Item Type: | Article |
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Additional Information: | Published: 06 September 2004. 14 pages (page numbers not for citation purposes), |
Uncontrolled Keywords: | Africa, Animals, Anopheles, Cattle, Climate, Female, Host-Parasite Interactions, Humans, Insect Vectors, Malaria, Falciparum, Models, Biological, Population Dynamics, Probability, Rain, Seasons, Species Specificity, Stochastic Processes, Temperature, Weather, Zimbabwe |
Subjects: | ?? G1 ?? |
Divisions: | Faculty of Science and Engineering > School of Physical Sciences Faculty of Science and Engineering > School of Environmental Sciences |
Depositing User: | Symplectic Admin |
Date Deposited: | 04 Nov 2009 12:55 |
Last Modified: | 17 Dec 2022 01:41 |
DOI: | 10.1186/1475-2875-3-32 |
Publisher's Statement : | © 2004 Hoshen and Morse; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/779 |