Impact Assessment of Extreme Hydrometeorological Hazard Events on Road Networks



Carlos Lam, Juan, Hackl, Jürgen ORCID: 0000-0002-8849-5751, Heitzler, Magnus, Adey, Bryan T and Hurni, Lorenz
(2020) Impact Assessment of Extreme Hydrometeorological Hazard Events on Road Networks. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 26 (2). 04020005-04020005.

[img] Text
Lam2020jis.docx - Author Accepted Manuscript

Download (1MB)

Abstract

Determining the risk related to transportation networks due to the occurrence of (natural) hazard events often requires computer support. A simulation-based modeling environment can be useful when modeling a set of related events that lead up to the estimation of the probable consequences of hazard events, which affect network managers and society. Nonetheless, running such simulations can be computationally expensive because each type of event requires a model of its own, and proper interfaces are needed to link events. Therefore, only a limited number of simulations can often be conducted, with the expectation that their results are representative of those that could have been obtained if all simulations had been run. This article presents a simulation reduction technique to calculate the risk related to transportation networks due to extreme hydrometeorological hazard events by conducting statistical analysis on the risk estimated when simulating the impact of nonextreme events. The technique may be of interest to network managers seeking to make decisions based on possible future climate scenarios. An example road network in Switzerland is used to illustrate the technique.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Extreme events, Hydrometeorological hazards, Climate scenarios, Risk, Transportation network, Uncertainty analysis
Divisions: Faculty of Science and Engineering > School of Engineering
Depositing User: Symplectic Admin
Date Deposited: 04 Feb 2022 08:09
Last Modified: 27 Jan 2023 02:52
DOI: 10.1061/(asce)is.1943-555x.0000530
Related URLs:
URI: https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3079293