The Empirical Relevance of the Shadow Rate and the Zero Lower Bound

Ellington, Michael ORCID: 0000-0003-0264-7572 (2021) The Empirical Relevance of the Shadow Rate and the Zero Lower Bound. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 54 (6). pp. 1605-1635.

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3244485

Abstract

This paper investigates the evolution of unconventional monetary policies under a binding zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint for the U.S. economy. In doing so, this study provides a comprehensive empirical assessment on the economic and statistical implications of allowing conventional and unconventional monetary policies to work in mutually exclusive union using shadow rates. Shadow rate Taylor rules and policy counterfactuals implied by time-varying coefficient structural vector autoregression (VAR) models show: (i) one can reconcile plausible economic results using shadow rates when short-term interest rates approach the ZLB and (ii) unconventional monetary policies are a viable response to recession and facilitate stability during economic recovery.

Item Type:	Article
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Prevention
Divisions:	Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences > School of Management
Depositing User:	Symplectic Admin
Date Deposited:	02 Nov 2021 08:04
Last Modified:	15 Mar 2024 03:01
DOI:	10.1111/jmcb.12881
Related URLs:	Publisher
URI:	https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3142470