Identification of heart failure hospitalization from NHS Digital data: comparison with expert adjudication.



Soltani, Fardad, Bradley, Joshua, Bonandi, Antonio, Black, Nicholas, Farrant, John P, Pailing, Adam, Orsborne, Christopher, Williams, Simon G, Schelbert, Erik B, Dodd, Susanna ORCID: 0000-0003-2851-3337
et al (show 5 more authors) (2024) Identification of heart failure hospitalization from NHS Digital data: comparison with expert adjudication. ESC heart failure, 11 (2). pp. 1022-1029.

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Abstract

<h4>Aims</h4>Population-wide, person-level, linked electronic health record data are increasingly used to estimate epidemiology, guide resource allocation, and identify events in clinical trials. The accuracy of data from NHS Digital (now part of NHS England) for identifying hospitalization for heart failure (HHF), a key HF standard, is not clear. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of NHS Digital data for identifying HHF.<h4>Methods and results</h4>Patients experiencing at least one HHF, as determined by NHS Digital data, and age- and sex-matched patients not experiencing HHF, were identified from a prospective cohort study and underwent expert adjudication. Three code sets commonly used to identify HHF were applied to the data and compared with expert adjudication (I50: International Classification of Diseases-10 codes beginning I50; OIS: Clinical Commissioning Groups Outcomes Indicator Set; and NICOR: National Institute for Cardiovascular Outcomes Research, used as the basis for the National Heart Failure Audit in England and Wales). Five hundred four patients underwent expert adjudication, of which 10 (2%) were adjudicated to have experienced HHF. Specificity was high across all three code sets in the first diagnosis position {I50: 96.2% [95% confidence interval (CI) 94.1-97.7%]; NICOR: 93.3% [CI 90.8-95.4%]; OIS: 95.6% [CI 93.3-97.2%]} but decreased substantially as the number of diagnosis positions expanded. Sensitivity [40.0% (CI 12.2-73.8%)] and positive predictive value (PPV) [highest with I50: 17.4% (CI 8.1-33.6%)] were low in the first diagnosis position for all coding sets. PPV was higher for the National Heart Failure Audit criteria, albeit modestly [36.4% (CI 16.6-62.2%)].<h4>Conclusions</h4>NHS Digital data were not able to accurately identify HHF and should not be used in isolation for this purpose.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Humans, Hospitalization, Prospective Studies, Predictive Value of Tests, State Medicine, Heart Failure
Divisions: Faculty of Health and Life Sciences
Faculty of Health and Life Sciences > Institute of Population Health
Depositing User: Symplectic Admin
Date Deposited: 12 Feb 2024 11:21
Last Modified: 02 Apr 2024 09:31
DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.14669
Open Access URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/ehf2.14669
Related URLs:
URI: https://livrepository.liverpool.ac.uk/id/eprint/3178581