Browse by People

Pellis, Lorenzo, Birrell, Paul JJ, Blake, Joshua, Hall, Ian, House, Thomas AA, Overton, Christopher EE ORCID: 0000-0002-8433-4010, Scarabel, Francesca, Stage, Helena BB and De Angelis, Daniela (2022) Authors' reply to the discussion of 'Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: conceptual and statistical challenges' by Pellis et al. in Session 3 of the Royal Statistical Society's Special Topic Meeting on COVID-19 transmission: 11 June 2021. JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY, 185 (Supple). S153-S157.

Collapse authors list.
Kretzschmar, Mirjam E, Ashby, Ben, Fearon, Elizabeth, Overton, Christopher E ORCID: 0000-0002-8433-4010, Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina, Pellis, Lorenzo, Quaife, Matthew, Rozhnova, Ganna, Scarabel, Francesca, Stage, Helena B et al (show 4 more authors) , Swallow, Ben, Thompson, Robin N, Tildesley, Michael J and Villela, Daniel (2022) Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics. Epidemics, 38. p. 100546.

Pellis, Lorenzo, Scarabel, Francesca, Stage, Helena B, Overton, Christopher E ORCID: 0000-0002-8433-4010, Chappell, Lauren HK, Fearon, Elizabeth, Bennett, Emma, Lythgoe, Katrina A, House, Thomas A and Hall, Ian (2021) Challenges in control of COVID-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES, 376 (1829). 20200264-.

Collapse authors list.
Swallow, Ben, Birrell, Paul, Blake, Joshua, Burgman, Mark, Challenor, Peter, Coffeng, Luc E, Dawid, Philip, De Angelis, Daniela, Goldstein, Michael, Hemming, Victoria et al (show 9 more authors) , Marion, Glenn, McKinley, Trevelyan J, Overton, Christopher E ORCID: 0000-0002-8433-4010, Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina, Pellis, Lorenzo, Probert, Will, Shea, Katriona, Villela, Daniel and Vernon, Ian (2022) Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling. Epidemics, 38. p. 100547.

Collapse authors list.
Challen, Robert ORCID: 0000-0002-5504-7768, Dyson, Louise ORCID: 0000-0001-9788-4858, Overton, Christopher ORCID: 0000-0002-8433-4010, Guzman-Rincon, Laura ORCID: 0000-0003-4592-2896, Hill, Edward ORCID: 0000-0002-2992-2004, Stage, Helena, Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Pellis, Lorenzo, Scarabel, Francesca, Pascall, David ORCID: 0000-0002-7543-0860 et al (show 12 more authors) , Blomquist, Paula, Tildesley, Michael, Williamson, Daniel, Siegert, Stefan, Xiong, Xiaoyu, Youngman, Ben, Read, Jonathan, Gog, Julia, Keeling, Matthew ORCID: 0000-0003-1240-7214, Keeling, Matthew ORCID: 0000-0003-4639-4765, Danon, Leon and Juniper, (2021) Early epidemiological signatures of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants: establishment of B.1.617.2 in England. [Preprint]

Collapse authors list.
Overton, Christopher E ORCID: 0000-0002-8433-4010, Pellis, Lorenzo, Stage, Helena B, Scarabel, Francesca, Burton, Joshua, Fraser, Christophe, Hall, Ian, House, Thomas A, Jewell, Chris, Nurtay, Anel et al (show 2 more authors) , Pagani, Filippo and Lythgoe, Katrina A (2022) EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England. PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY, 18 (9). e1010406-.

Collapse authors list.
Pellis, Lorenzo, Birrell, Paul J, Blake, Joshua, Overton, Christopher E ORCID: 0000-0002-8433-4010, Scarabel, Francesca, Stage, Helena B, Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Danon, Leon, Hall, Ian, House, Thomas A et al (show 4 more authors) , Keeling, Matt J, Read, Jonathan M, JUNIPER Consortium, Daniela and De Angelis, Daniela (2022) Estimation of reproduction numbers in real time: Conceptual and statistical challenges. JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES A-STATISTICS IN SOCIETY, 185 (Suppl ). S112-S130.

Collapse authors list.
Vekaria, Bindu, Overton, Christopher, Wisniowski, Arkadiusz, Ahmad, Shazaad, Aparicio-Castro, Andrea, Curran-Sebastian, Jacob, Eddleston, Jane, Hanley, Neil A, House, Thomas, Kim, Jihye et al (show 7 more authors) , Olsen, Wendy, Pampaka, Maria, Pellis, Lorenzo, Ruiz, Diego Perez, Schofield, John, Shryane, Nick and Elliot, Mark J (2021) Hospital length of stay for COVID-19 patients: Data-driven methods for forward planning. BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 21 (1). 700-.

Collapse authors list.
Thompson, Robin N, Hollingsworth, T Déirdre, Isham, Valerie, Arribas-Bel, Daniel ORCID: 0000-0002-6274-1619, Ashby, Ben, Britton, Tom, Challenor, Peter, Chappell, Lauren HK, Clapham, Hannah, Cunniffe, Nik J et al (show 33 more authors) , Dawid, A Philip, Donnelly, Christl A, Eggo, Rosalind M, Funk, Sebastian, Gilbert, Nigel, Glendinning, Paul, Gog, Julia R, Hart, William S, Heesterbeek, Hans, House, Thomas, Keeling, Matt, Kiss, István Z, Kretzschmar, Mirjam E, Lloyd, Alun L, McBryde, Emma S, McCaw, James M, McKinley, Trevelyan J, Miller, Joel C, Morris, Martina, O'Neill, Philip D, Parag, Kris V, Pearson, Carl AB, Pellis, Lorenzo, Pulliam, Juliet RC, Ross, Joshua V, Tomba, Gianpaolo Scalia, Silverman, Bernard W, Struchiner, Claudio J, Tildesley, Michael J, Trapman, Pieter, Webb, Cerian R, Mollison, Denis and Restif, Olivier (2020) Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 287 (1932). p. 20201405.

Collapse authors list.
Overton, Christopher E, Webb, Luke, Datta, Uma, Fursman, Mike, Hardstaff, Jo, Hiironen, Iina, Paranthaman, Karthik, Riley, Heather, Sedgwick, James, Verne, Julia et al (show 3 more authors) , Willner, Steve, Pellis, Lorenzo and Hall, Ian (2022) Novel methods for estimating the instantaneous and overall COVID-19 case fatality risk among care home residents in England. PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY, 18 (10). e1010554-.

Fyles, Martyn, Fearon, Elizabeth, Overton, Christopher, Wingfield, Tom ORCID: 0000-0001-8433-6887, Medley, Graham F, Hall, Ian, Pellis, Lorenzo and House, Thomas (2021) Using a household-structured branching process to analyse contact tracing in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES, 376 (1829). 20200267-.

Collapse authors list.
Overton, Christopher E ORCID: 0000-0002-8433-4010, Stage, Helena B, Ahmad, Shazaad, Curran-Sebastian, Jacob, Dark, Paul, Das, Rajenki, Fearon, Elizabeth, Felton, Timothy, Fyles, Martyn, Gent, Nick et al (show 9 more authors) , Hall, Ian, House, Thomas, Lewkowicz, Hugo, Pang, Xiaoxi, Pellis, Lorenzo, Sawko, Robert, Ustianowski, Andrew, Vekaria, Bindu and Webb, Luke (2020) Using statistics and mathematical modelling to understand infectious disease outbreaks: COVID-19 as an example. INFECTIOUS DISEASE MODELLING, 5. pp. 409-441.

Collapse authors list.
Fryer, Helen R ORCID: 0000-0001-9987-8160, Golubchik, Tanya, Hall, Matthew, Fraser, Christophe, Hinch, Robert, Ferretti, Luca, Thomson, Laura, Nurtay, Anel, Pellis, Lorenzo, House, Thomas et al (show 24 more authors) , MacIntyre-Cockett, George, Trebes, Amy, Buck, David, Piazza, Paolo, Green, Angie, Lonie, Lorne J, Smith, Darren ORCID: 0000-0003-4925-467X, Bashton, Matthew ORCID: 0000-0002-6847-1525, Crown, Matthew, Nelson, Andrew ORCID: 0000-0001-6665-4929, McCann, Clare M, Adnan Tariq, Mohammed, Elstob, Claire J, Nunes Dos Santos, Rui, Richards, Zack, Xhang, Xin, Hawley, Joseph, Lee, Mark R, Carrillo-Barragan, Priscilla ORCID: 0000-0003-2639-264X, Chapman, Isobel, Harthern-Flint, Sarah, COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) consortium, , Bonsall, David and Lythgoe, Katrina A (2023) Viral burden is associated with age, vaccination, and viral variant in a population-representative study of SARS-CoV-2 that accounts for time-since-infection-related sampling bias. PLoS pathogens, 19 (8). e1011461-.

Collapse authors list.
Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Northstone, Kate, Pellis, Lorenzo, Scarabel, Francesca, Thomas, Amy, Nixon, Emily, Matthews, David A, Bowyer, Vicky, Garcia, Maria Paz, Steves, Claire J et al (show 2 more authors) , Timpson, Nicholas J and Danon, Leon (2023) Voluntary risk mitigation behaviour can reduce impact of SARS-CoV-2: a real-time modelling study of the January 2022 Omicron wave in England. BMC MEDICINE, 21 (1). 25-.